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CheckWeather AUBateau Bay
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Bateau Bay weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Bateau Bay's high today between 28° and 31°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 30°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°11°
30°12°
31°15°
16°15°
19°15°
22°15°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 43%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Bateau Bay: European (ECMWF): 10° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 11° Clear.

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Bateau Bay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bateau Bay swings 18°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 9°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1006 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
April
1006 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, May and June
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bateau Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bateau Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bateau Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
30° 12°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
31° 15°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 15°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
19° 15°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 14°
±2°
Sat
Mostly clear
26° 14°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 15°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
26° 13°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±6°

Bateau Bay, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1006 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bateau Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bateau Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
19°
10°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bateau Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°28° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°28° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°29° to 33°±30%3% to 33% chance
Tue±3°15° to 18°±71%15% to 86% chance
Wed±8°16° to 23°±61%16% to 77% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bateau Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
05:48
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bateau Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bateau Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bateau Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bateau Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bateau Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bateau Bay (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bateau Bay?
February is typically the warmest month in Bateau Bay, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Bateau Bay get?
The coldest month in Bateau Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Bateau Bay get?
Bateau Bay sees roughly 1006 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather