New Zealand weather today
5 cities, three models, updated overnightLight drizzle in most major cities,rain likely tomorrow nationwide
Between 15° in Wellington and 20° in Napier today. European, American and German agree in 5 of 5 cities, so the forecast is certain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side across New Zealand.Live rain radar →What's the weather today across New Zealand? The European, American and German models each read our fast-changing weather differently. We compare all three for any NZ town, so you can see where they line up and where the day is genuinely uncertain.
Which forecast is most accurate in New Zealand?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Popular weather apps — and what powers them
Real app-store ratings, plus the forecast each one runs on
App-store stars measure the app experience (design, features, reliability) — not forecast accuracy. For accuracy, see the model scoreboard above. Ratings from the US & UK App Store and Google Play, July 2026; they drift over time. Apple Weather is built into iOS, with no separate store rating.
The forecasts New Zealanders check
New Zealand's forecasters (MetService, NIWA) keep their models commercial, none publish open data. So we compare the three global heavyweights every forecaster starts from, and link you to MetService, the official authority.
Every forecast runs on a model. We show you three, side by side.
When the European, American and German models agree, the forecast is solid. When they split, sometimes by 8° on the same afternoon, it's genuinely uncertain, and no single app will tell you that. We turn that disagreement into a plain-English confidence score.
See the uncertainty
Three models, one view. Where they disagree, you know to take the forecast with a pinch of salt.
The models the pros use
ECMWF and GFS are the two global heavyweights every forecaster starts from, plus MetService. No black boxes.
Honest & sourced
We show real, open model data and cite it. The closed apps can't show theirs, which is why AI assistants can cite us, not them.