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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Dunedin (Dunners) weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Dunedin's high today between 16° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 75% chance of rain.

17°
11°
19°
13°
10°
14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Showers
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 93%
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Dunedin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dunedin swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in January to 3°C lows in August, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1027 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
19°C average high
Coldest month
August
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1027 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and December
Residents
133,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dunedin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dunedin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dunedin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Sun
Light snow
10°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
12°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
17°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
17° 10°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±3°

Dunedin, New Zealand. Often shortened to Dunners. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Dunedin right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Dunedin's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Dunedin weather by month

what to expect in Dunedin through the year

Here is Dunedin's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Dunedin by season.

Jan
19°
11°
Mild
Feb
19°
11°
Mild
Mar
17°
Mild
Apr
15°
Mild
May
12°
Cool
Jun
11°
Cool
Jul
10°
Cool
Aug
11°
Cool
Sep
13°
Cool
Oct
14°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
15°
Mild
Dec
17°
10°
Mild

What Dunedin's weather is like through the year

Dunedin runs from warm summers, with January highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Dunedin sees roughly 1027 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Dunedin

The most comfortable time to visit Dunedin is usually January, February, March and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dunedin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C95±2.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C94±3.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
72
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C92±4.0 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Dunedin, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 77. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 18°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree11° to 11°±75%0% to 75% chance
Mon±1°18° to 20°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±7%90% to 97% chance
Wed±3°9° to 12°±16%53% to 69% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dunedin

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:30
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dunedin today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Dunedin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dunedin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Dunedin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dunedin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dunedin (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dunedin?
January is typically the warmest month in Dunedin, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Dunedin get?
The coldest month in Dunedin is August, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Dunedin get?
Dunedin sees roughly 1027 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Dunedin?
The most comfortable time to visit Dunedin is usually January, February, March and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Dunedin?
Rarely - Dunedin very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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