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CheckWeather NZNorth East Valley
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

North East Valley weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put North East Valley's high today between 16° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 10°, with a 75% chance of rain.

17°
10°
19°
12°
10°
14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Showers
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 93%
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North East Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

North East Valley swings 14°C across the year, from 18°C highs in January to 4°C lows in August, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 963 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
18°C average high
Coldest month
August
4°C average low
Wettest month
October
963 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and December
Residents
9,830
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around North East Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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North East Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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North East Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Sun
Light snow
10°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±6°
Wed
Drizzle
17°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±3°

North East Valley, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 4°C), with roughly 963 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for North East Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

North East Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
18°
12°
Feb
18°
12°
Mar
16°
10°
Apr
14°
May
12°
Jun
10°
Jul
10°
Aug
11°
Sep
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
14°
Dec
16°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in North East Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C86±7.0 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
74
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C92±3.8 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
73
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C87±6.7 km/t5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 18°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree10° to 11°±75%0% to 75% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±7%90% to 97% chance
Wed±3°9° to 12°±16%53% to 69% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North East Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:30
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in North East Valley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for North East Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in North East Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for North East Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for North East Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for North East Valley (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North East Valley?
January is typically the warmest month in North East Valley, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does North East Valley get?
The coldest month in North East Valley is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does North East Valley get?
North East Valley sees roughly 963 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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