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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Tauranga weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Tauranga today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 48% chance of rain.

17°
16°
16°
18°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Tauranga weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tauranga swings 17°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 5°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1861 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
1861 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
161,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Tauranga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tauranga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tauranga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Sun
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree

Tauranga, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Tauranga right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Tauranga's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Tauranga weather by month

what to expect in Tauranga through the year

Here is Tauranga's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Tauranga by season.

Jan
22°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
22°
15°
Warm
Mar
21°
12°
Mild
Apr
19°
12°
Mild
May
16°
10°
Mild
Jun
15°
Mild
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
16°
Mild
Oct
17°
10°
Mild
Nov
19°
11°
Mild
Dec
22°
14°
Warm

What Tauranga's weather is like through the year

Tauranga runs from warm summers, with January highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when August lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Tauranga sees roughly 1861 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Tauranga

The most comfortable time to visit Tauranga is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tauranga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C93±3.3 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C89±5.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Tauranga, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 83. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±43%5% to 48% chance
Mon±1°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±44%5% to 49% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±39%20% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tauranga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tauranga today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Tauranga today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tauranga today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Tauranga and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tauranga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tauranga (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tauranga?
January is typically the warmest month in Tauranga, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Tauranga get?
The coldest month in Tauranga is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Tauranga get?
Tauranga sees roughly 1861 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Tauranga?
The most comfortable time to visit Tauranga is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Tauranga?
Rarely - Tauranga very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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