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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Otumoetai weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Otumoetai today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 48% chance of rain.

17°
16°
16°
18°
15°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Otumoetai weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Otumoetai swings 18°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 5°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1861 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
1861 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
8,620
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Otumoetai and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Otumoetai hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Otumoetai 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Sun
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree

Otumoetai, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1861 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Otumoetai right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Otumoetai climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
19°
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
12°
Dec
22°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Otumoetai?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C93±3.3 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C89±5.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±43%5% to 48% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±44%5% to 49% chance
Wed±2°15° to 16°±39%20% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Otumoetai

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Otumoetai today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Otumoetai today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Otumoetai today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Otumoetai and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Otumoetai?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Otumoetai (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Otumoetai?
February is typically the warmest month in Otumoetai, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Otumoetai get?
The coldest month in Otumoetai is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Otumoetai get?
Otumoetai sees roughly 1861 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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