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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Waitangi weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Waitangi's high today between 11° and 15°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 12°, with a 99% chance of rain.

13°
12°
13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Fog
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 29%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Showers
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 38%
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Waitangi weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Waitangi swings 11°C across the year, from 18°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1253 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
18°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
March
1253 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
140
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Waitangi and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waitangi hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waitangi 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
13°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
10°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11°
models agree

Waitangi, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1253 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Waitangi right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Waitangi climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
18°
14°
Feb
18°
14°
Mar
16°
12°
Apr
15°
12°
May
13°
10°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
11°
Sep
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
15°
10°
Dec
17°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waitangi?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C90±5.1 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C62±19.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°11° to 15°±19%29% to 48% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±1%98% to 99% chance
Mon±2°9° to 10°±28%20% to 48% chance
Tue±4°11° to 15°±54%33% to 87% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±19%60% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waitangi

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waitangi today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Waitangi today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waitangi today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Waitangi and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waitangi?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waitangi (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waitangi?
January is typically the warmest month in Waitangi, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Waitangi get?
The coldest month in Waitangi is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Waitangi get?
Waitangi sees roughly 1253 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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