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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Benalla weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 20° in Benalla today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 13% chance of rain.

20°
24°
16°
17°
20°
24°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mostly clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Partly cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Fog
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Benalla weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Benalla swings 26°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 755 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
November
755 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
9,316
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Benalla and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Benalla hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Benalla 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24°
±3°
Mon
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
24°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
25° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
18° 10°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Fri
Clear
21° 11°
±6°

Benalla, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 755 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Benalla right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Benalla climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
17°
Feb
30°
16°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
20°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
18°
Oct
20°
Nov
26°
13°
Dec
28°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Benalla?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
93
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C96±1.9 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°±13%0% to 13% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±3°18° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Benalla

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Benalla today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Benalla today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Benalla today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Benalla and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Benalla?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Benalla (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Benalla?
February is typically the warmest month in Benalla, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Benalla get?
The coldest month in Benalla is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Benalla get?
Benalla sees roughly 755 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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