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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Bowral weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Bowral today. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 0% chance of rain.

22°10°
24°11°
22°
15°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Bowral weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bowral swings 21°C across the year, from 25°C highs in December to 4°C lows in July, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 844 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
April
844 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bowral and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bowral hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bowral 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 11°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
22°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±13°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 10°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
22° 12°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±4°

Bowral, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 844 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bowral right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bowral climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
14°
Feb
24°
14°
Mar
23°
13°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
11°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bowral?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C92±4.2 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
67
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C93±3.4 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°20° to 23°±78%8% to 86% chance
Tue±3°8° to 11°±71%3% to 74% chance
Wed±9°11° to 20°±53%8% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bowral

today, local time
Sunrise
05:52
Sunset
17:51
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bowral today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bowral today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bowral today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bowral and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bowral?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bowral (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bowral?
December is typically the warmest month in Bowral, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Bowral get?
The coldest month in Bowral is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Bowral get?
Bowral sees roughly 844 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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