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CheckWeather AUBurleigh Waters
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Burleigh Waters weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Burleigh Waters's high today between 25° and 29°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

27°12°
27°14°
29°13°
25°15°
22°17°
22°15°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Mostly clear
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Fog
Today 29°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Burleigh Waters weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Burleigh Waters swings 17°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 11°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1261 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
November
1261 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Burleigh Waters and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Burleigh Waters hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Burleigh Waters 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
27° 12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
27° 14°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
29° 13°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 16°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 16°
models agree

Burleigh Waters, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1261 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Burleigh Waters right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Burleigh Waters climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
21°
Feb
28°
21°
Mar
27°
20°
Apr
25°
17°
May
22°
13°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
20°
11°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
24°
15°
Oct
25°
16°
Nov
26°
19°
Dec
28°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Burleigh Waters?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.5 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
70
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C92±3.9 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°25° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°25° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°26° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±47%2% to 49% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±53%16% to 69% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burleigh Waters

today, local time
Sunrise
05:39
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burleigh Waters today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Burleigh Waters today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burleigh Waters today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Burleigh Waters and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burleigh Waters?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burleigh Waters (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Burleigh Waters?
January is typically the warmest month in Burleigh Waters, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Burleigh Waters get?
The coldest month in Burleigh Waters is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Burleigh Waters get?
Burleigh Waters sees roughly 1261 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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