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CheckWeather AUCairns North
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cairns North weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 26° in Cairns North today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 26°, with a 59% chance of rain.

26°19°
26°17°
26°16°
26°17°
26°19°
26°19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 18°·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 20°·Rain 26%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 20°·Rain 13%
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Cairns North weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cairns North swings 11°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 19°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2189 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
19°C average low
Wettest month
December
2189 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
7,340
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cairns North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cairns North hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cairns North 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
26° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 20°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 18°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
27° 19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±2°

Cairns North, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 19°C), with roughly 2189 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cairns North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Cairns North climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
30°
25°
Feb
30°
25°
Mar
30°
24°
Apr
29°
24°
May
27°
22°
Jun
26°
20°
Jul
25°
19°
Aug
26°
19°
Sep
27°
20°
Oct
29°
21°
Nov
30°
23°
Dec
30°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cairns North?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C90±4.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C92±4.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C92±3.9 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°25° to 26°±63%13% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 27°±49%10% to 59% chance
Mon±2°25° to 27°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tuemodels agree26° to 26°±27%3% to 30% chance
Wed±1°26° to 27°±66%20% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cairns North

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
12h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cairns North today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cairns North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cairns North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cairns North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cairns North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cairns North (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cairns North?
January is typically the warmest month in Cairns North, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Cairns North get?
The coldest month in Cairns North is July, when overnight lows average about 19°C.
How much rain does Cairns North get?
Cairns North sees roughly 2189 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather