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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Collie weather

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Drizzle,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Collie today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 10% chance of rain.

16°12°
20°11°
21°
21°
20°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Collie: European (ECMWF): 13° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.

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Collie weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Collie swings 25°C across the year, from 32°C highs in February to 7°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 586 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
32°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
July
586 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
7,396
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Collie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Collie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Collie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
21°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21°
±4°

Collie, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 586 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Collie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Collie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
15°
Feb
32°
16°
Mar
27°
14°
Apr
22°
11°
May
20°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
15°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
22°
10°
Nov
26°
12°
Dec
29°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Collie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C95±2.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 17°±37%63% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°18° to 22°±8%2% to 10% chance
Mon±2°20° to 22°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±2°20° to 22°±37%5% to 42% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°±32%13% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Collie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Collie today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Collie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Collie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Collie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Collie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Collie (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Collie?
February is typically the warmest month in Collie, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Collie get?
The coldest month in Collie is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Collie get?
Collie sees roughly 586 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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