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CheckWeather AUCranbourne West
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cranbourne West weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Cranbourne West today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 25% chance of rain.

24°14°
26°15°
15°
16°
21°
26°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cranbourne West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cranbourne West hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cranbourne West 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
27° 15°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
28° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 11°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 12°
±6°

Cranbourne West is a small town of about 20,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.1°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Cranbourne West with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Cranbourne, Cranbourne East, Cranbourne North.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cranbourne West?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±22%0% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 27°±21%4% to 25% chance
Mon±1°15° to 15°±45%48% to 93% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cranbourne West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cranbourne West today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cranbourne West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cranbourne West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cranbourne West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cranbourne West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cranbourne West (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather