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CheckWeather AUEmerald
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Emerald weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Emerald today. Tomorrow looks clear around 32°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°13°
32°14°
33°15°
31°15°
29°16°
28°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 47%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 12° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 58%

Latest for Emerald: European (ECMWF): 15° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Emerald weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Emerald swings 23°C across the year, from 34°C highs in December to 11°C lows in July, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 669 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
34°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
January
669 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Emerald and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Emerald hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Emerald 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
29° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
32° 14°
models agree
Mon
Clear
33° 15°
models agree
Tue
Clear
31° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
28° 16°
±2°
Fri
Partly cloudy
26° 16°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
29° 15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
30° 16°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
30° 16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
30° 16°
models agree

Emerald, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 34°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 11°C), with roughly 669 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Emerald right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Emerald climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
22°
Feb
32°
22°
Mar
32°
22°
Apr
29°
18°
May
25°
13°
Jun
24°
12°
Jul
22°
11°
Aug
26°
13°
Sep
29°
15°
Oct
33°
19°
Nov
33°
21°
Dec
34°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Emerald?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±1.9 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
93
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
88
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C84±8.2 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°29° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°31° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°32° to 34°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°31° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°29° to 30°±14%0% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Emerald

today, local time
Sunrise
06:00
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
12h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Emerald today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Emerald today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Emerald today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Emerald and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Emerald?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Emerald (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Emerald?
December is typically the warmest month in Emerald, with average highs around 34°C.
How cold does Emerald get?
The coldest month in Emerald is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Emerald get?
Emerald sees roughly 669 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather