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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Gisborne weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Gisborne today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 8% chance of rain.

23°13°
23°12°
13°
14°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 3%
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Gisborne weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gisborne swings 19°C across the year, from 24°C highs in February to 5°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 752 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
24°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
752 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and September
Residents
8,725
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gisborne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gisborne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gisborne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
25° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±11°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±5°

Gisborne, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 752 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gisborne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gisborne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
13°
Feb
24°
12°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
16°
May
14°
Jun
11°
Jul
11°
Aug
13°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
Nov
21°
10°
Dec
23°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Gisborne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±29%0% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±8%0% to 8% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±40%13% to 53% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gisborne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gisborne today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Gisborne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gisborne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Gisborne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gisborne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gisborne (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gisborne?
February is typically the warmest month in Gisborne, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Gisborne get?
The coldest month in Gisborne is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Gisborne get?
Gisborne sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather