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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Hobart weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Hobart's high today between 16° and 19°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 26°, with a 67% chance of rain.

17°
26°
13°
15°
18°
18°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 22%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Hobart weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hobart swings 18°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 5°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 608 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
December
608 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
255,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hobart and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hobart hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hobart 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
26°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
22°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 10°
±4°

Hobart, Tasmania. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Hobart right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Hobart's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hobart weather by month

what to expect in Hobart through the year

Here is Hobart's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Hobart by season.

Jan
23°
13°
Warm
Feb
23°
13°
Warm
Mar
20°
11°
Mild
Apr
17°
Mild
May
14°
Cool
Jun
12°
Cool
Jul
13°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
17°
Mild
Nov
19°
10°
Mild
Dec
21°
12°
Mild
Wettest

What Hobart's weather is like through the year

Hobart runs from warm summers, with January highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Hobart sees roughly 608 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Hobart

The most comfortable time to visit Hobart is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hobart?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C89±5.4 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
83
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Hobart, scoring 85/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°16° to 19°±92%3% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 27°±67%0% to 67% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±53%5% to 58% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°±29%0% to 29% chance
Wed±2°16° to 19°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hobart

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hobart today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hobart today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hobart today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hobart and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hobart?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Hobart (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hobart?
January is typically the warmest month in Hobart, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Hobart get?
The coldest month in Hobart is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Hobart get?
Hobart sees roughly 608 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Hobart?
The most comfortable time to visit Hobart is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Hobart?
Rarely - Hobart very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More AU weather