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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kilmore weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Kilmore today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 13% chance of rain.

21°
24°
12°
16°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Partly cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Partly cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Kilmore weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kilmore swings 20°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 5°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 607 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
December
607 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,865
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kilmore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kilmore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kilmore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
22°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±5°

Kilmore, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 607 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kilmore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kilmore climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
13°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
11°
Jul
11°
Aug
13°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
Nov
21°
11°
Dec
24°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kilmore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C85±7.4 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 21°±25%0% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 25°±13%0% to 13% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±17%6% to 23% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kilmore

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kilmore today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kilmore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kilmore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kilmore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kilmore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kilmore (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kilmore?
January is typically the warmest month in Kilmore, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Kilmore get?
The coldest month in Kilmore is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Kilmore get?
Kilmore sees roughly 607 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather