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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Lara weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Lara's high today between 24° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 26°, with a 10% chance of rain.

25°15°
26°13°
14°
15°
19°
25°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Cloudy
Today 27°·Low 15°·Rain 3%
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Lara weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lara swings 18°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 7°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 551 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
December
551 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Lara and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lara hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lara 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
25° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
28° 15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
25° 13°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
25° 13°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
26° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
±2°
Thu
Mostly clear
17° 10°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree

Lara, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 551 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Lara right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Lara climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
14°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lara?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±2.0 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C94±2.9 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 27°±37%0% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±4°25° to 29°±10%0% to 10% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±16%15% to 31% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°16° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lara

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lara today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Lara today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lara today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Lara and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lara?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Lara (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lara?
February is typically the warmest month in Lara, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Lara get?
The coldest month in Lara is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Lara get?
Lara sees roughly 551 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather