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CheckWeather AUMargaret River
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Margaret River weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Margaret River today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 52% chance of rain.

16°12°
18°
18°
19°
19°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 12° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 12° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 93%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 12° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Margaret River: European (ECMWF): 13° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 13° Partly cloudy.

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Margaret River weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Margaret River swings 16°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 11°C lows in June, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 758 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
11°C average low
Wettest month
August
758 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
7,571
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Margaret River and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Margaret River hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Margaret River 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
16° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 10°
models agree

Margaret River, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 758 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Margaret River right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Margaret River climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
16°
Feb
27°
16°
Mar
25°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
20°
13°
Jun
16°
11°
Jul
16°
12°
Aug
16°
11°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
19°
12°
Nov
23°
14°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Margaret River?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C92±4.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C89±5.7 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
75
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 16°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±42%10% to 52% chance
Mon±1°18° to 18°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±29%18% to 47% chance
Wedmodels agree19° to 19°±43%5% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Margaret River

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Margaret River today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Margaret River today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Margaret River today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Margaret River and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Margaret River?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Margaret River (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Margaret River?
February is typically the warmest month in Margaret River, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Margaret River get?
The coldest month in Margaret River is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Margaret River get?
Margaret River sees roughly 758 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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