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CheckWeather AUMorphett Vale
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Morphett Vale weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Morphett Vale's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 22% chance of rain.

23°12°
20°13°
14°
18°
23°10°
26°17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Clear
Feels 12° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 16%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 27%

Latest for Morphett Vale: European (ECMWF): 18° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 20° Clear.

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Morphett Vale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morphett Vale swings 18°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 9°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 641 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
June
641 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
24,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Morphett Vale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morphett Vale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morphett Vale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 17°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
28° 17°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
29° 21°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
27° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
17°
±4°
Thu
Clear
20° 11°
±7°
Fri
Clear
23° 13°
±8°

Morphett Vale, South Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 641 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Morphett Vale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Morphett Vale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
16°
Feb
27°
17°
Mar
25°
16°
Apr
19°
13°
May
17°
11°
Jun
15°
10°
Jul
14°
Aug
16°
10°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
20°
12°
Nov
23°
13°
Dec
25°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morphett Vale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
90
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C93±3.7 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C89±5.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°19° to 22°±15%7% to 22% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 14°±8%6% to 14% chance
Tue±3°17° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°22° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morphett Vale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morphett Vale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Morphett Vale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morphett Vale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Morphett Vale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morphett Vale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morphett Vale (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morphett Vale?
February is typically the warmest month in Morphett Vale, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Morphett Vale get?
The coldest month in Morphett Vale is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Morphett Vale get?
Morphett Vale sees roughly 641 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather