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CheckWeather AUMountain Creek
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Mountain Creek weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mountain Creek's high today between 28° and 31°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°10°
27°11°
30°12°
26°12°
23°18°
23°16°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
31°
Fog
Today 31°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Mountain Creek weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mountain Creek swings 16°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 12°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1370 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
12°C average low
Wettest month
January
1370 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mountain Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mountain Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mountain Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
29° 10°
±2°
Tomorrow
Clear
27° 11°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 12°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 12°
models agree
Wed
Showers
23° 18°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree

Mountain Creek, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 12°C), with roughly 1370 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mountain Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mountain Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
28°
22°
Mar
27°
21°
Apr
25°
18°
May
22°
15°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
21°
12°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
24°
15°
Oct
25°
17°
Nov
26°
20°
Dec
28°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mountain Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C91±4.7 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C91±4.7 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
58
/100rank #3
70±1.7°C88±6.2 km/t2458% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°28° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°26° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°27° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°25° to 27°±26%8% to 34% chance
Wed±3°22° to 25°±32%50% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mountain Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
05:41
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mountain Creek today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mountain Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mountain Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mountain Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mountain Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mountain Creek (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mountain Creek?
January is typically the warmest month in Mountain Creek, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Mountain Creek get?
The coldest month in Mountain Creek is June, when overnight lows average about 12°C.
How much rain does Mountain Creek get?
Mountain Creek sees roughly 1370 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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