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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mudgee weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Mudgee today. Tomorrow looks clear around 25°, with a 0% chance of rain.

23°
25°
26°11°
19°11°
22°11°
25°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Mudgee weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mudgee swings 26°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 3°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 571 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
3°C average low
Wettest month
November
571 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mudgee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mudgee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mudgee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
23°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
25°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
26° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 11°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 11°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
26° 11°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
27° 12°
±2°
Sun
Partly cloudy
26° 13°
±6°
Mon
Clear
26° 10°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
26° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
24° 13°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±7°

Mudgee, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 3°C), with roughly 571 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mudgee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mudgee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
28°
16°
Mar
27°
14°
Apr
20°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
20°
Oct
23°
Nov
26°
13°
Dec
29°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mudgee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±2.0 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
88
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°25° to 27°±14%0% to 14% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±13%0% to 13% chance
Wed±6°19° to 25°±8%11% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mudgee

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mudgee today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mudgee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mudgee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mudgee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mudgee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mudgee (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mudgee?
January is typically the warmest month in Mudgee, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Mudgee get?
The coldest month in Mudgee is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Mudgee get?
Mudgee sees roughly 571 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather