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CheckWeather AUMulgrave
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mulgrave weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mulgrave's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 25% chance of rain.

25°14°
26°14°
15°
17°
21°
26°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mulgrave and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mulgrave hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mulgrave 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
25° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 14°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
28° 17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
27° 15°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
27° 13°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 12°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 12°
±5°

Mulgrave is a small town of about 20,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Mulgrave with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Noble Park North, Springvale, Wheelers Hill.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mulgrave?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C96±2.0 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
72
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.0 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 26°±22%0% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±3°25° to 28°±21%4% to 25% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±45%48% to 93% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°19° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mulgrave

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mulgrave today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mulgrave today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mulgrave today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mulgrave and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mulgrave?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mulgrave (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather