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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Newcastle weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Newcastle's high today between 27° and 30°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 31°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°12°
31°13°
32°15°
17°15°
20°15°
24°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Partly cloudy
Today 27°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Newcastle weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Newcastle swings 17°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 849 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
April
849 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, May and June
Residents
508,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Newcastle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newcastle in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Newcastle, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Newcastle hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Newcastle 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
31° 13°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
32° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 15°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 15°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
24° 14°
±4°
Fri
Clear
28° 13°
±5°
Sat
Clear
27° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
25° 12°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
29° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
28° 15°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 15°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±4°

Newcastle, New South Wales. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Newcastle right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Newcastle's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Newcastle weather by month

what to expect in Newcastle through the year

Here is Newcastle's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Newcastle by season.

Jan
26°
21°
Warm
Feb
27°
20°
Warm
Mar
26°
20°
Warm
Apr
22°
16°
Warm
Wettest
May
19°
12°
Mild
Jun
17°
10°
Mild
Jul
17°
10°
Mild
Aug
19°
11°
Mild
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
23°
15°
Warm
Nov
24°
18°
Warm
Dec
27°
20°
Warm

What Newcastle's weather is like through the year

Newcastle runs from warm summers, with February highs near 27°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Newcastle sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Newcastle

The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle is usually January, March, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Newcastle?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C90±5.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C92±4.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
75
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C91±4.6 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Newcastle, scoring 79/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°27° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°29° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°31° to 34°±29%5% to 34% chance
Tue±4°15° to 19°±56%5% to 61% chance
Wed±9°16° to 25°±53%13% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newcastle

today, local time
Sunrise
05:47
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newcastle today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Newcastle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newcastle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Newcastle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newcastle?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Newcastle (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newcastle?
February is typically the warmest month in Newcastle, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Newcastle get?
The coldest month in Newcastle is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Newcastle get?
Newcastle sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Newcastle?
The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle is usually January, March, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Newcastle?
Rarely - Newcastle very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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