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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Port Lincoln weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 26° in Port Lincoln today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 49% chance of rain.

26°12°
20°13°
14°10°
17°10°
21°12°
26°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Clear
Today 27°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Clear
Today 27°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Port Lincoln weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port Lincoln swings 15°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 358 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
358 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Port Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Lincoln hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Lincoln 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 14°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
23° 18°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Wed
Clear
18° 10°
±8°
Thu
Clear
19° 13°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 12°
±7°

Port Lincoln, South Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 358 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Port Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Port Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
16°
Feb
25°
17°
Mar
24°
16°
Apr
20°
13°
May
18°
12°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
15°
10°
Aug
17°
10°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
20°
12°
Nov
21°
14°
Dec
23°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C91±4.5 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C92±4.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°25° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±43%6% to 49% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±4°15° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°20° to 24°±13%0% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
18:20
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Lincoln today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Port Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Port Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Port Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Lincoln?
February is typically the warmest month in Port Lincoln, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Port Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Port Lincoln is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Port Lincoln get?
Port Lincoln sees roughly 358 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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