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CheckWeather AUPunchbowl
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Punchbowl weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Punchbowl's high today between 29° and 32°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 33°, with a 0% chance of rain.

30°11°
33°14°
29°14°
16°14°
19°14°
24°14°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Partly cloudy
Today 29°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low ·Rain 0%
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Punchbowl and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Punchbowl hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Punchbowl 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
30° 11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Clear
33° 14°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
29° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
29° 13°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
30° 16°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 16°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 15°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
29° 15°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
±3°

Punchbowl is a small town of about 20,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 33.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Punchbowl with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wiley Park, Riverwood, Roselands.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Punchbowl?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C98±1.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C88±6.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±1.8 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°29° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°32° to 34°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°28° to 31°±61%0% to 61% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±57%11% to 68% chance
Wed±7°16° to 23°±60%18% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Punchbowl

today, local time
Sunrise
05:50
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Punchbowl today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Punchbowl today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Punchbowl today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Punchbowl and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Punchbowl?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Punchbowl (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather