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CheckWeather AUSouth Morang
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

South Morang weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in South Morang today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 15% chance of rain.

24°13°
26°14°
15°
17°
21°
25°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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South Morang weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

South Morang swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 821 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
January
821 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and August
Residents
25,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around South Morang and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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South Morang hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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South Morang 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
27° 17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
27° 14°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
28° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 11°
±7°

South Morang, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 821 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for South Morang right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

South Morang climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in South Morang?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C93±3.6 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C95±2.3 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°±34%0% to 34% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 27°±15%0% to 15% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±20%23% to 43% chance
Tue±2°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Morang

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Morang today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for South Morang today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in South Morang today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for South Morang and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Morang?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for South Morang (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Morang?
January is typically the warmest month in South Morang, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does South Morang get?
The coldest month in South Morang is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does South Morang get?
South Morang sees roughly 821 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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