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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Toowoomba weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Toowoomba today. Tomorrow looks clear around 29°, with a 0% chance of rain.

27°
29°11°
30°11°
25°11°
23°12°
21°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Clear
Today 27°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Toowoomba weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Toowoomba swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in December to 7°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 908 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
November
908 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
142,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Toowoomba and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Toowoomba hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Toowoomba 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
27°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
29° 11°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 11°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 11°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 11°
±3°

Toowoomba, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Toowoomba right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Toowoomba's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Toowoomba weather by month

what to expect in Toowoomba through the year

Here is Toowoomba's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Toowoomba by season.

Jan
28°
18°
Warm
Feb
28°
18°
Warm
Mar
26°
17°
Warm
Apr
23°
13°
Warm
May
19°
10°
Mild
Jun
17°
Mild
Jul
17°
Mild
Aug
21°
10°
Mild
Sep
23°
11°
Warm
Oct
26°
13°
Warm
Nov
26°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Dec
29°
18°
Hot

What Toowoomba's weather is like through the year

Toowoomba runs from warm summers, with December highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Toowoomba sees roughly 908 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Toowoomba

The most comfortable time to visit Toowoomba is usually March, April, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Toowoomba?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
90
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C96±2.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C90±4.8 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Toowoomba, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 90. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°27° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°29° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°30° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°24° to 27°±24%0% to 24% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±52%5% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Toowoomba

today, local time
Sunrise
05:45
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Toowoomba today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Toowoomba today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Toowoomba today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Toowoomba and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toowoomba?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Toowoomba (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Toowoomba?
December is typically the warmest month in Toowoomba, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Toowoomba get?
The coldest month in Toowoomba is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Toowoomba get?
Toowoomba sees roughly 908 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Toowoomba?
The most comfortable time to visit Toowoomba is usually March, April, May and June, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Toowoomba?
Rarely - Toowoomba very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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