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CheckWeather AUTownsville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Townsville weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Townsville's high today between 24° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 0% chance of rain.

25°15°
25°15°
25°15°
26°17°
26°18°
26°18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Clear
Feels 17° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 89%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Partly cloudy
Feels 17° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Townsville: European (ECMWF): 16° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 16° Partly cloudy.

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Townsville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Townsville swings 15°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 15°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1491 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
15°C average low
Wettest month
February
1491 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
201,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Townsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Townsville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Townsville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
25° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 15°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
25° 15°
±2°
Tue
Mostly clear
26° 17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 19°
±3°
Thu
Clear
26° 19°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 19°
±2°

Townsville, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Townsville right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Townsville's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Townsville weather by month

what to expect in Townsville through the year

Here is Townsville's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Townsville by season.

Jan
30°
24°
Hot
Feb
30°
24°
Hot
Wettest
Mar
30°
23°
Hot
Apr
29°
22°
Hot
May
27°
18°
Warm
Jun
26°
16°
Warm
Jul
25°
15°
Warm
Aug
26°
15°
Warm
Sep
27°
18°
Warm
Oct
29°
21°
Hot
Nov
30°
23°
Hot
Dec
30°
24°
Hot

What Townsville's weather is like through the year

Townsville runs from warm summers, with January highs near 30°C, to cool winters, when July lows sit around 15°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Townsville sees roughly 1491 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Townsville

The most comfortable time to visit Townsville is usually June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Townsville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C92±4.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
90
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
83
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C97±1.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Townsville, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 90. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°25° to 28°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±2°25° to 27°±58%5% to 63% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Townsville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
12h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Townsville today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Townsville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Townsville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Townsville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Townsville?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Townsville (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Townsville?
January is typically the warmest month in Townsville, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Townsville get?
The coldest month in Townsville is July, when overnight lows average about 15°C.
How much rain does Townsville get?
Townsville sees roughly 1491 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Townsville?
The most comfortable time to visit Townsville is usually June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Townsville?
Rarely - Townsville very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More AU weather