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Mexico weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mexico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Mexico? Mexico, Mexico, sits at 21.2°N in a tropical climate zone. The averages on this page are measured at Cancún, the main gateway for CA travellers; inland and mountain areas run cooler. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Mexico right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Where to go in Mexico

We cover 9 destinations in Mexico, each with its own live three-model comparison and long-run averages. The table shows the typical daytime high in January and July and the wettest month, so you can see how much the coast, the cities and the islands differ before you pick dates.

DestinationJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Cancún27°C32°CJune1463 mm
Playa del Carmen27°C32°CJune1252 mm
Cabo San Lucas25°C34°COctober234 mm
Puerto Vallarta26°C31°CJuly810 mm
Mazatlan25°C32°CAugust651 mm
Huatulco32°C31°CSeptember1400 mm
Ixtapa27°C31°CJuly787 mm
Tulum28°C32°CJune1443 mm
Cozumel27°C32°CJune1264 mm

Best time to visit Mexico

The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Mexico weather by month

what to expect in Mexico through the year

Here is Mexico's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mexico by season.

Jan
27°
22°
Warm
Feb
27°
21°
Warm
Mar
29°
24°
Hot
Apr
30°
24°
Hot
May
32°
25°
Hot
Jun
31°
25°
Hot
Wettest
Jul
32°
26°
Hot
Aug
32°
25°
Hot
Sep
31°
25°
Hot
Oct
30°
25°
Hot
Nov
29°
23°
Hot
Dec
27°
22°
Warm

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Mexico?
The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Mexico during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Mexico - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mexico?
For destinations abroad we compare the three global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) that nearly every weather app quietly builds on. No single app tells you when they disagree - we do, so you can judge the confidence yourself.

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