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CheckWeather CAAmherst
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Amherst weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Amherst's high today between 13° and 16°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 57% chance of rain.

14°
14°
16°
14°
16°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Amherst weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Amherst swings 37°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1262 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
January
1262 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
9,404
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Amherst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amherst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amherst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
16°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
18°
±4°
Mon
Rain
19° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
20° 12°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree

Amherst, Nova Scotia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1262 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Amherst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Amherst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-8°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
10°
May
15°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-5°

Which forecast is most accurate in Amherst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C92±4.1 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±2.5 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°13° to 16°±40%17% to 57% chance
Mon±2°16° to 18°±33%40% to 73% chance
Tue±4°12° to 16°±9%1% to 10% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amherst

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amherst today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Amherst today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Amherst today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Amherst and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amherst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amherst (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amherst?
July is typically the warmest month in Amherst, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Amherst get?
The coldest month in Amherst is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Amherst get?
Amherst sees roughly 1262 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather