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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Aspen Woods weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Aspen Woods today. Tomorrow looks clear around 20°, with a 1% chance of rain.

19°
20°
22°
24°
21°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Clear
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Aspen Woods weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Aspen Woods swings 38°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -13°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 497 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-13°C average low
Wettest month
June
497 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
9,435
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Aspen Woods and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Aspen Woods hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Aspen Woods 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
20°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22°
models agree
Mon
Clear
24°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
12°
±5°
Sun
Clear
15°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
13°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10°
±8°

Aspen Woods, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -13°C), with roughly 497 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Aspen Woods right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Aspen Woods climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-13°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-12°
Apr
10°
-3°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
25°
11°
Aug
24°
10°
Sep
20°
Oct
12°
Nov
-7°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aspen Woods?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±2.1 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C88±6.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±2°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°23° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°19° to 22°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aspen Woods

today, local time
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aspen Woods today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Aspen Woods today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aspen Woods today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Aspen Woods and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aspen Woods?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aspen Woods (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aspen Woods?
July is typically the warmest month in Aspen Woods, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Aspen Woods get?
The coldest month in Aspen Woods is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Aspen Woods get?
Aspen Woods sees roughly 497 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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