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CheckWeather CABelle River
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Belle River weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Belle River today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 97% chance of rain.

21°17°
20°16°
19°13°
18°13°
16°15°
17°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Drizzle
Feels 19° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 69%

Latest for Belle River: Env. Canada (GEM model): 21° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 19° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast.

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Belle River weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Belle River swings 30°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -3°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 913 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-3°C average low
Wettest month
April
913 mm a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
9,650
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Belle River and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Belle River hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Belle River 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
21° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 16°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 13°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
16° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 14°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
19° 13°
±3°
Sat
Clear
20° 12°
±3°
Sun
Clear
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
21° 12°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
19° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±5°
Thu
Clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
±5°

Belle River, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 913 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Belle River right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Belle River climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
Apr
15°
May
21°
11°
Jun
25°
16°
Jul
27°
19°
Aug
25°
18°
Sep
23°
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Belle River?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C94±3.2 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
64
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C93±3.4 km/t1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±42%48% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±33%64% to 97% chance
Mon±4°17° to 21°±10%4% to 14% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±10%15% to 25% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±5%41% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Belle River

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Belle River today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Belle River today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Belle River today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Belle River and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Belle River?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Belle River (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Belle River?
July is typically the warmest month in Belle River, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Belle River get?
The coldest month in Belle River is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Belle River get?
Belle River sees roughly 913 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather