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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Comox weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Comox's high today between 17° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 1% chance of rain.

18°
18°10°
19°
19°11°
17°11°
15°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Comox: Env. Canada (GEM model): 15° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 15° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Overcast.

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Comox weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Comox swings 22°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1544 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 35 frost nights, and rain on 157 days.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
January
1544 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
35 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
157 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Comox’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Comox and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Comox hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Comox 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Tue
Clear
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15° 10°
±2°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Showers
16°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
15° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
16° 11°
±6°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
14°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
±3°

Comox, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1544 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Comox right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Comox climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
17°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Comox?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C94±3.0 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #2
67±1.8°C94±2.8 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
55±2.5°C94±3.0 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°16° to 20°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±2°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°±31%2% to 33% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±21%8% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Comox

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Comox today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Comox today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Comox today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Comox and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Comox?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Comox (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Comox?
July is typically the warmest month in Comox, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Comox get?
The coldest month in Comox is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Comox get?
Comox sees roughly 1544 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather