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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dawson Creek weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Dawson Creek today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 4% chance of rain.

21°
20°
22°
17°
16°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 17° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 44%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 46%

Latest for Dawson Creek: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 20° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast.

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Dawson Creek weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dawson Creek swings 37°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -13°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 464 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-13°C average low
Wettest month
June
464 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Dawson Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dawson Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dawson Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
14°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
15°
±4°
Mon
Clear
15°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Wed
Light snow
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
13°
±8°

Dawson Creek, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -13°C), with roughly 464 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Dawson Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Dawson Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
-13°
Feb
-2°
-12°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
10°
-2°
May
19°
Jun
20°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
22°
11°
Sep
18°
Oct
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-2°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dawson Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±1.8 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±3.0 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
69
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C95±2.5 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 22°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±4%0% to 4% chance
Sun±2°21° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°15° to 19°±28%4% to 32% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dawson Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dawson Creek today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Dawson Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dawson Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Dawson Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dawson Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dawson Creek (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dawson Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Dawson Creek, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Dawson Creek get?
The coldest month in Dawson Creek is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Dawson Creek get?
Dawson Creek sees roughly 464 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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