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CheckWeather CADuvernay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Duvernay weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Duvernay today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 16°, with a 81% chance of rain.

16°
16°
15°
15°
18°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Partly cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Duvernay weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Duvernay swings 38°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1226 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 63 days a year at 25°C or above, 10 of them at 30°C or above, 148 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
August
1226 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
37,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
63 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
148 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Duvernay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Duvernay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Duvernay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Duvernay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Clear
19°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Wed
Rain
21° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±4°

Duvernay, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1226 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Duvernay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Duvernay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Duvernay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C98±0.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
79±1.1°C93±3.7 km/t9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±2.5 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 17°±36%45% to 81% chance
Monmodels agree15° to 15°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°18° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Duvernay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Duvernay today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Duvernay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Duvernay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Duvernay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Duvernay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Duvernay (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Duvernay?
July is typically the warmest month in Duvernay, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Duvernay get?
The coldest month in Duvernay is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Duvernay get?
Duvernay sees roughly 1226 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather