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CheckWeather CAEdmundston
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Edmundston weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Edmundston today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 14°, with a 86% chance of rain.

13°
14°
12°
14°
17°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Partly cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Edmundston weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Edmundston swings 41°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1100 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 34 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 174 frost nights, and rain on 145 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
August
1100 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
34 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
174 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
145 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Edmundston’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Edmundston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Edmundston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Edmundston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
12°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Wed
Clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Clear
20°
±4°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
models agree

Edmundston, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1100 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Edmundston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Edmundston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-14°
Feb
-4°
-15°
Mar
-7°
Apr
-2°
May
17°
Jun
22°
11°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Edmundston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C95±2.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±24%62% to 86% chance
Mon±4°10° to 14°±30%39% to 69% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree17° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Edmundston

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Edmundston today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Edmundston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Edmundston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Edmundston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Edmundston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Edmundston (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Edmundston?
July is typically the warmest month in Edmundston, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Edmundston get?
The coldest month in Edmundston is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Edmundston get?
Edmundston sees roughly 1100 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather