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CheckWeather CAElliot Lake
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Elliot Lake weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Elliot Lake's high today between 16° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 10% chance of rain.

17°
16°
13°
17°
18°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Elliot Lake weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elliot Lake swings 35°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 945 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
April
945 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Elliot Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elliot Lake hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elliot Lake 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
±2°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Fri
Clear
21°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
21°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
15°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
±7°

Elliot Lake, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 945 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Elliot Lake right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Elliot Lake climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-10°
Feb
-2°
-11°
Mar
-6°
Apr
-1°
May
18°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elliot Lake?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.7 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C94±3.1 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 19°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°±9%1% to 10% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°15° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±5%6% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elliot Lake

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elliot Lake today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Elliot Lake today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elliot Lake today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Elliot Lake and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elliot Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elliot Lake (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elliot Lake?
July is typically the warmest month in Elliot Lake, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Elliot Lake get?
The coldest month in Elliot Lake is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Elliot Lake get?
Elliot Lake sees roughly 945 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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