Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAFort Garry South
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Fort Garry South weather

Loading live data…

Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Fort Garry South's high today between 17° and 21°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 90% chance of rain.

19°
19°11°
17°
20°
20°
19°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 58%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Feels 17° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Fort Garry South: Env. Canada (GEM model): 20° Clear · European (ECMWF): 19° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Clear.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Fort Garry South weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fort Garry South swings 40°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 573 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 58 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 178 frost nights, and rain on 95 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
573 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
65,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
58 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
178 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
95 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fort Garry South’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fort Garry South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Fort Garry South hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Fort Garry South 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
19°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Clear
20°
models agree
Tue
Clear
20°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 14°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
24° 15°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 16°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
±5°

Fort Garry South, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 573 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fort Garry South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fort Garry South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-2°
-12°
Apr
-2°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Garry South?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±2.7 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
70
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C94±3.2 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°17° to 21°±63%37% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 21°±49%41% to 90% chance
Sunmodels agree17° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Garry South

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Garry South today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Fort Garry South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fort Garry South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Fort Garry South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Garry South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Garry South (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Garry South?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Garry South, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Fort Garry South get?
The coldest month in Fort Garry South is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Fort Garry South get?
Fort Garry South sees roughly 573 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather