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CheckWeather CAGrimsby
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Grimsby weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Grimsby's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 19°, with a 76% chance of rain.

19°15°
19°15°
16°13°
17°14°
16°13°
16°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 59%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 58%

Latest for Grimsby: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Overcast.

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Grimsby weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Grimsby swings 30°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -3°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 970 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 65 days a year at 25°C or above, 10 of them at 30°C or above, 101 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-3°C average low
Wettest month
April
970 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
27,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
65 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
101 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Grimsby’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Grimsby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grimsby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grimsby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 13°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 13°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
16° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 14°
±4°
Sat
Clear
18° 13°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
20° 12°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 12°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±3°

Grimsby, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 970 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Grimsby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Grimsby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
Apr
13°
May
18°
10°
Jun
23°
16°
Jul
27°
19°
Aug
25°
18°
Sep
22°
16°
Oct
17°
11°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Grimsby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C90±5.1 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
64±2.0°C95±2.3 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±28%17% to 45% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree19° to 19°±20%56% to 76% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±13%1% to 14% chance
Tue±3°15° to 18°±21%4% to 25% chance
Wed±3°15° to 17°±12%18% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grimsby

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grimsby today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Grimsby today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grimsby today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Grimsby and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grimsby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grimsby (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grimsby?
July is typically the warmest month in Grimsby, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Grimsby get?
The coldest month in Grimsby is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Grimsby get?
Grimsby sees roughly 970 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather