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CheckWeather CAHintonburg
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Hintonburg weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Hintonburg's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 45% chance of rain.

16°
17°
15°
16°
18°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Partly cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Hintonburg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hintonburg swings 37°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1154 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
August
1154 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
7,844
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Hintonburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hintonburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hintonburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 13°
±3°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 11°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±5°

Hintonburg, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1154 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Hintonburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Hintonburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hintonburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C97±1.6 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 18°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±31%14% to 45% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree17° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hintonburg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hintonburg today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Hintonburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hintonburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Hintonburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hintonburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hintonburg (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hintonburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Hintonburg, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Hintonburg get?
The coldest month in Hintonburg is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Hintonburg get?
Hintonburg sees roughly 1154 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather