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CheckWeather CAJonquiere
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Jonquiere weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Jonquiere today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 12°, with a 64% chance of rain.

12°
12°
11°
14°
16°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 46%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Mainly clear
Feels 10° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 46%

Latest for Jonquiere: Env. Canada (GEM model): 13° Clear · European (ECMWF): 12° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Mainly clear.

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Jonquiere weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Jonquiere swings 41°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -16°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1099 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 31 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 174 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-16°C average low
Wettest month
July
1099 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
55,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
31 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
174 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
159 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Jonquiere’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Jonquiere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Jonquiere hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Jonquiere 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
11°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
18°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±3°

Jonquiere, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -16°C), with roughly 1099 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Jonquiere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Jonquiere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-16°
Mar
-9°
Apr
-2°
May
17°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Jonquiere?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C94±2.8 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C96±2.2 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 13°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°10° to 13°±24%40% to 64% chance
Mon±3°10° to 12°±2%40% to 42% chance
Tuemodels agree14° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jonquiere

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jonquiere today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Jonquiere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Jonquiere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Jonquiere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jonquiere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jonquiere (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jonquiere?
July is typically the warmest month in Jonquiere, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Jonquiere get?
The coldest month in Jonquiere is February, when overnight lows average about -16°C.
How much rain does Jonquiere get?
Jonquiere sees roughly 1099 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather