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CheckWeather CAJunction Area
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Junction Area weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Junction Area today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 55% chance of rain.

19°11°
21°14°
16°11°
16°11°
16°13°
17°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 10°·Rain 6%
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Junction Area weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Junction Area swings 31°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -5°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 969 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 61 days a year at 25°C or above, 8 of them at 30°C or above, 122 frost nights, and rain on 128 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-5°C average low
Wettest month
April
969 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
84/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
61 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
122 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
128 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Junction Area’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Junction Area and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Junction Area hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Junction Area 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Sat
Clear
20° 11°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21° 12°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±4°

Junction Area, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -5°C), with roughly 969 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Junction Area right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Junction Area climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Junction Area?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
81
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C89±5.6 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±14%6% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 21°±20%35% to 55% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±8%3% to 11% chance
Wed±2°16° to 17°±17%12% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Junction Area

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Junction Area today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Junction Area today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Junction Area today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Junction Area and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Junction Area?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Junction Area (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the European at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Junction Area?
July is typically the warmest month in Junction Area, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Junction Area get?
The coldest month in Junction Area is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Junction Area get?
Junction Area sees roughly 969 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather