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CheckWeather CAL'Ancienne-Lorette
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

L'Ancienne-Lorette weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put L'Ancienne-Lorette's high today between 15° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 67% chance of rain.

16°
15°
15°
15°
17°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 42%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 42%

Latest for L'Ancienne-Lorette: Env. Canada (GEM model): 18° Clear · European (ECMWF): 15° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear.

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L'Ancienne-Lorette weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

L'Ancienne-Lorette swings 39°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1365 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 43 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 of them at 30°C or above, 163 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
1365 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
43 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
163 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
155 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for L'Ancienne-Lorette’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around L'Ancienne-Lorette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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L'Ancienne-Lorette hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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L'Ancienne-Lorette 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
19°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
16° 11°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
models agree

L'Ancienne-Lorette, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1365 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for L'Ancienne-Lorette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

L'Ancienne-Lorette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-13°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
-7°
Apr
10°
May
18°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
25°
17°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
14°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in L'Ancienne-Lorette?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C93±3.4 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±43%24% to 67% chance
Mon±1°15° to 15°±13%4% to 17% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in L'Ancienne-Lorette

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in L'Ancienne-Lorette today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for L'Ancienne-Lorette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in L'Ancienne-Lorette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for L'Ancienne-Lorette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for L'Ancienne-Lorette?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for L'Ancienne-Lorette (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in L'Ancienne-Lorette?
July is typically the warmest month in L'Ancienne-Lorette, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does L'Ancienne-Lorette get?
The coldest month in L'Ancienne-Lorette is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does L'Ancienne-Lorette get?
L'Ancienne-Lorette sees roughly 1365 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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