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CheckWeather CALawrence Park North
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Lawrence Park North weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Lawrence Park North today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 55% chance of rain.

18°10°
20°13°
16°10°
16°10°
16°11°
17°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 2%
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Lawrence Park North weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lawrence Park North swings 33°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1025 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 129 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
April
1025 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
129 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
132 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lawrence Park North’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lawrence Park North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lawrence Park North hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lawrence Park North 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Sat
Clear
21° 10°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21° 11°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±5°

Lawrence Park North, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1025 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Lawrence Park North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Lawrence Park North climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lawrence Park North?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±3.9 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C97±1.3 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 19°±18%2% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±20%35% to 55% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±9%2% to 11% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±17%12% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lawrence Park North

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lawrence Park North today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Lawrence Park North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lawrence Park North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Lawrence Park North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lawrence Park North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lawrence Park North (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lawrence Park North?
July is typically the warmest month in Lawrence Park North, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Lawrence Park North get?
The coldest month in Lawrence Park North is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Lawrence Park North get?
Lawrence Park North sees roughly 1025 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather