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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Melfort weather

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Clear,cooler tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Melfort today. Tomorrow looks clear around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain.

21°
18°
20°
23°11°
22°14°
23°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 62%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 47%

Latest for Melfort: Env. Canada (GEM model): 17° Clear · European (ECMWF): 16° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Clear.

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Melfort weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Melfort swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 484 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
484 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
5,778
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Melfort and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Melfort hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Melfort 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
18°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Clear
23° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 14°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 12°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
25° 14°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±13°
Sat
Mostly clear
21° 10°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
16°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
models agree
Thu
Light rain
±4°

Melfort, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 484 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Melfort right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Melfort climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-10°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
-5°
-15°
Apr
-3°
May
18°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
13°
Sep
21°
10°
Oct
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-5°
-12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Melfort?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C94±3.1 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 21°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°19° to 21°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°21° to 24°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melfort

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melfort today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Melfort today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melfort today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Melfort and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melfort?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Melfort (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Melfort?
July is typically the warmest month in Melfort, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Melfort get?
The coldest month in Melfort is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Melfort get?
Melfort sees roughly 484 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather