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CheckWeather CAMiramichi
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Miramichi weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Miramichi's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 53% chance of rain.

14°
14°
16°
16°
18°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Mostly clear
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Mostly clear
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Miramichi weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Miramichi swings 40°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -13°C lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1210 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 49 days a year at 25°C or above, 7 of them at 30°C or above, 156 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-13°C average low
Wettest month
March
1210 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
18,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
49 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
156 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Miramichi’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Miramichi and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Miramichi hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Miramichi 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Tue
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Wed
Clear
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Sun
Clear
19°
±3°
Mon
Rain
19° 10°
±5°
Tue
Rain
20°
models agree
Wed
Clear
20° 12°
±3°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree

Miramichi, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1210 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Miramichi right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Miramichi climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-11°
Feb
-2°
-13°
Mar
-5°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
16°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Miramichi?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±38%15% to 53% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±30%15% to 45% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree18° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Miramichi

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Miramichi today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Miramichi today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Miramichi today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Miramichi and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Miramichi?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Miramichi (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Miramichi?
July is typically the warmest month in Miramichi, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Miramichi get?
The coldest month in Miramichi is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Miramichi get?
Miramichi sees roughly 1210 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather