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CheckWeather CAMoose Jaw
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Moose Jaw weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Moose Jaw today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 0% chance of rain.

23°
21°
20°
23°11°
24°13°
26°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Fog
Today 24°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Moose Jaw weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Moose Jaw swings 39°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -12°C lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 396 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 58 days a year at 25°C or above, 17 of them at 30°C or above, 179 frost nights, and rain on 78 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
January
-12°C average low
Wettest month
May
396 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, August and September
Residents
34,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
58 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
179 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
78 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Moose Jaw’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Moose Jaw and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Moose Jaw hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Moose Jaw 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Mon
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Clear
24° 13°
±4°
Wed
Clear
26° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
27° 15°
±8°
Fri
Clear
28° 16°
±7°
Sat
Clear
22° 11°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
17°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
17°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
19°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
±4°

Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 396 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Moose Jaw right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Moose Jaw climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-12°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-1°
-12°
Apr
11°
-1°
May
19°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
27°
15°
Aug
26°
14°
Sep
24°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Moose Jaw?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.3 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
76±1.4°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±1°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°22° to 26°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moose Jaw

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moose Jaw today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Moose Jaw today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moose Jaw today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Moose Jaw and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moose Jaw?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moose Jaw (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moose Jaw?
July is typically the warmest month in Moose Jaw, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Moose Jaw get?
The coldest month in Moose Jaw is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Moose Jaw get?
Moose Jaw sees roughly 396 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather