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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

North York weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in North York today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 55% chance of rain.

18°10°
20°13°
16°10°
16°10°
16°11°
17°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 2%
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North York weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

North York swings 33°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1025 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
April
1025 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
672,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around North York and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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North York hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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North York 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Sat
Clear
21° 10°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21° 11°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±5°

North York, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for North York right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down North York's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

North York weather by month

what to expect in North York through the year

Here is North York's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to North York by season.

Jan
-5°
Cold
Feb
-6°
Cold
Mar
-3°
Cold
Apr
13°
Cool
Wettest
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
14°
Warm
Jul
27°
17°
Warm
Aug
25°
16°
Warm
Sep
23°
14°
Warm
Oct
16°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-2°
Cold

What North York's weather is like through the year

North York runs from warm summers, with July highs near 27°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -6°C (a swing of about 33°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and North York sees roughly 1025 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so North York sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit North York

The most comfortable time to visit North York is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.0 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t5575% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±20%35% to 55% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±7%12% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North York

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in North York today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for North York today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in North York today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for North York and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for North York?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the North York forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in North York?
July is typically the warmest month in North York, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does North York get?
The coldest month in North York is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does North York get?
North York sees roughly 1025 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit North York?
The most comfortable time to visit North York is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in North York?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in North York, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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