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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Northwood weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Northwood's high today between 18° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 45% chance of rain.

19°
15°
14°
15°
16°
17°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 65%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Northwood: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Clear.

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Northwood weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Northwood swings 34°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -12°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 706 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 18 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 169 frost nights, and rain on 109 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-12°C average low
Wettest month
April
706 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
80/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
18 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
169 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
109 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Northwood’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Northwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Northwood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Northwood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Clear
15°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Clear
17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
15°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
13°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±4°

Northwood, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 706 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Northwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Northwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-11°
Feb
-3°
-12°
Mar
-7°
Apr
-2°
May
14°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
12°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-1°
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Northwood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C97±1.6 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
70
/100rank #2
65±1.9°C95±2.6 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
65±1.9°C92±4.1 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±53%4% to 57% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree15° to 15°±39%6% to 45% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°15° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Northwood

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Northwood today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Northwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Northwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Northwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Northwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Northwood (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Northwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Northwood, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Northwood get?
The coldest month in Northwood is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Northwood get?
Northwood sees roughly 706 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather